Random Walks and Volatility
So to statistically describe movements of stock price, you model the price
(technically its logarithm) as a function of time as a random walk.
If the mean of the price doesn't change over time
then the variance in the stock price is proportional to time:
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(2.16) |
Here is the price of the stock (really is log) as a function of time
. This as we've seen is proportional to the number of steps taken, which
is also proportional to time. What's the constant ? That depends on the stock.
Some stocks have a high "volatility", that is the prices go up and down
quickly, while others have a low volatility, they're not expected to change
much over time.
Subsections
Josh Deutsch
2009-03-05
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